2026 NBA Draft Lottery Odds: Top Teams and No. 1 Pick Race

 Lottery Odds: Who Has the Best Shot?

Three teams are sitting at the top with the highest chance (14%) to land the No. 1 pick:

• Washington Wizards (17–65)
• Indiana Pacers (19–63)
• Brooklyn Nets (20–62)

Just behind them:

• Utah Jazz (22–60) – 11.5%
• Sacramento Kings (22–60) – 11.5%
• Memphis Grizzlies (25–57) – 9%

Mid-tier odds:

• New Orleans Pelicans (26–56) – 6.8% (pick may go to Atlanta)
• Dallas Mavericks (26–56) – 6.7%
• Chicago Bulls (31–51) – 4.5%
• Milwaukee Bucks (32–50) – 3%

? Picks 11–14 will be finalized after the Play-In Tournament wraps up.

? The Prize: Future Superstars

This year’s draft class has a clear headliner—but there’s still some debate at the top.

? AJ Dybantsa (Projected No. 1)

• Elite shot creator with advanced scoring ability
• Smooth footwork + natural touch
• Averaged 25.5 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 3.7 APG

? Bottom line: He’s the favorite to go No. 1, and every lottery team would gladly take him—no fit concerns at all.

? Darryn Peterson (Projected No. 2)

• Strong scorer with deep range
• Active defender and solid off-ball movement
• Averaged 20.2 PPG

? Despite an up-and-down freshman season (injuries + inconsistency), he still has a real shot at jumping to No. 1 if teams bet on his upside.

? Cam Boozer (Projected No. 3)

• Highly productive and versatile
• Put up 22.5 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 4.1 APG
• Shot nearly 40% from three

? The big question:
Can his all-around game outweigh concerns about athleticism and defense?

? Quick Take

• Dybantsa leads the race, but it’s not a lock.
• Peterson is the wildcard who could shake things up.
• Boozer delivers results, but may need to win over scouts during the draft process.